Skip to content
Jolems Property Solutions
Market intelligence

Why East Africa. Why Uganda. Why now.

Uganda's housing crisis is one of the most acute on the African continent. Combined with East Africa's economic momentum, AfCFTA integration and a growing diaspora investment appetite, it represents a generational opportunity for the operator with the right combination of technology, capital structure and execution.

Housing deficit

2.4M

Annual supply gap

140K

Urban pop. by 2035

20M

GDP growth (2024)

6.5%

The thesis

Three forces converging at once.

Uganda builds 60,000 housing units per year against a national demand of 200,000 — a 140,000-unit annual shortfall that widens as the urban population marches from 11 million in 2022 to a projected 20 million by 2035. Median age is under 16. This is not a short-term cyclical opportunity; it is a thirty-year, structurally-locked-in demand curve.

Around that demand sits a payments revolution — MTN MoMo, Airtel Money and M-Pesa now carry the majority of household spending — and a regional trade revolution: AfCFTA eliminates 90% of intra-African tariffs, making the Nairobi-Kampala corridor critical infrastructure. The country with the lowest construction cost in the region (Rwanda) and the country with the largest deficit (Uganda) are next-door neighbours.

Above demand and infrastructure sits capital. Ugandan diaspora remittances exceed $1.2 billion annually with no trusted digital channel for property investment. Diaspora portals across other African markets (Nigeria, Kenya) have proven that the appetite is structural — but credible operators are scarce. Jolems closes that gap through HomeSure.

Indicators

The numbers behind the strategy.

A snapshot of the metrics that drive the business model. Sources include the Uganda Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Lands, NHCC, World Bank, UN-Habitat and our own research.

Housing deficit
2.4M units
Annual demand
200K units
Annual supply
60K units
Annual gap
140K units
Urban population by 2035
20M
GDP growth (2024)
6.5%
Kampala growth
5%+ annually
Median age
<16 years
Average rental yield
8–14%
Annual appreciation
10–15%
Mortgage penetration
1.2% of GDP
Serviced apartments demand
+12% YoY
Sub-markets

Six demand pools. One operating model.

The construction phases map directly onto each sub-market. Where competitors specialise in one segment, HomeSure lets us scale across all six on a single technology stack.

Mid-Market Residential

Kira · Naalya · Namugongo · Wakiso

The largest gap. Young professionals earning $400 – $1,000 per month with no quality housing options. UGX 80–150M unit pricing is the affordability sweet spot.

Purpose-Built Student Accommodation

Makerere · Kyambogo · Nkumba

Across Africa's 1,331 higher-education institutions only 30% of student housing demand is met. PBSA delivers 13–14% rental yields and is alumni-fundable.

Mixed-Use Townships

Gayaza · Mukono · Bweyogerere

Cross-subsidy model unlocks affordable units. Government PPP-eligible. Cheaper land, expressway access, social infrastructure anchors.

Industrial & Logistics

Namanve · Nairobi-Kampala AfCFTA corridor

13%+ e-commerce growth. Grade A warehouse shortage. Long institutional leases at 10–13% yield. The natural anchor for the eventual REIT.

Serviced Apartments

Kololo · Nakasero · Nakawa

+12% YoY demand from expat, NGO and diplomatic tenants. USD-denominated leases. Highest unit-economics segment in the residential stack.

Green Smart Housing

All new developments from Year 3

Solar, rainwater harvesting, EPS panels, smart metering. Unlocks 5–8% DFI capital vs Uganda's 22% bank rate — a structural cost-of-capital advantage.

Construction cost advantage

The cheapest place to build is right here.

East Africa's construction economics are structurally favourable. Combined with a land-for-equity acquisition model, this becomes a compounding margin advantage.

Uganda

$22,000

Per affordable unit (NHCC Lubowa pilot, 2024).

Rwanda

$979

Per square metre — lowest in East Africa.

Kenya

Benchmark

Higher land and labour cost; longer permitting cycles.

Regional expansion

Three new markets by Year 5.

Year 3

Kenya — Nairobi

AfCFTA Nairobi-Kampala logistics corridor. $200K+ units needed annually. White-label HomeSure to a local partner; satellite office in CBD.

Year 4

Rwanda — Kigali

Most business-friendly economy in Africa. Government targets 150,000 new homes per year. Lowest construction cost in the region at $979/m².

Year 4 – 5

Tanzania — Dar es Salaam

54% of urban households rent. Bagamoyo Port driving demand. Regional trade hub — natural fit for the industrial phase.

Diaspora capital

$1.2 billion+ in remittances. No trusted digital channel — until HomeSure.

Ugandan diaspora remittances exceed $1.2 billion annually. Most flow into household consumption, not productive investment, because there has been no credible, on-the-ground operator with the technology to make property a passive instrument. We close that gap.

$1.2B+

Annual remittances

USD

Investor returns

Q1

Reporting cadence

2%

Concierge fee

Position your capital

Ahead of the supply gap.

Demand compounds for thirty years. Supply does not catch up unless someone builds. We are that someone.